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The health of Ariel Sharon.
http://www.cnn.com/2006/WORLD/meast/...ron/index.html
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I believe, whatever happens to Sharon, whether he lives, dies, or just does not recover his career is at an end.
Depending on his succesor and what their mindset is about everything that has been hapening is a huge factor. If someone who is of the same mindset as Sharon gets elected, hopefully this will only be a small delay in the peace making process. The Gaza pull out will be continued and maybe other plans to make peace will go into effect. However is someone gets elected who is like Sharon was before his change of heart in recent years, the situation could rapidly decline and relations would become severly strained, if not erupting into a war. Really depending the the succesor many different things could happen, hopefully the right person will be elected but that might not be the case. In the best of situations Murphy's law will not continue to effect Isreal as it has done to Sharon. |
Would it make a large difference to the election and the peace process if he survives until after the election? It's only three months away, isn't it?
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I don't think so. If he gets elected again and then dies, then they'll just have another election.
However, I'm worried. Israel seems to be getting progressively more...what's the word...pissed off with the constant attacks from Hamas and the flack they're taking from Palestine. If we get someone with a different approach than Sharon, we could very end up with a war. Unfortunately, Iran would hop in with Palestine, which would force the US to jump in to help Israel. Then that would involve NATO, and...long story short, the wrong guy being elected could result in World War III, or a very dead Israel. Sharon is going to die, but if he plays his cards right he could ensure that the people elect someone to honor his last wishes for peace. |
In my (considerably unprofessional) opinion, the worst case scenario at this point would be for (someone like) Benjamin Netanyahu (who is against settlement withdrawl and wants to break from the "road map") to be elected by Israel in March, and for Hamas to get more power in the upcoming elections.
I think if that happened, the crap would hit the fan like it hasn't in years. |
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What do you call inching a wall closer every day to literally overtake Palestinian land? What do you call the Israeli army killing innocent people and making excuses later? What do you call the formation of Israel itself? Neither side is blameless. But yes, this is a precarious situation. |
What's interesting about U.S. and Israeli politics is that there is so much interaction between the two, since L.B.J., that they are now linked, almost. Whatever occurs in Israel, after Sharon's death, or end of tenure (of which the prior seems most likely, as of yet) will mark a radical change in current U.S. policy in the Gaza strip area. Alright, I'm not sure exactly what will occur in the change of policy, but it's definately going to be something.
Also, Sharon is most likely not going to have a career after this, as was said before. Too much brain damage, and only the U.S. can effectively carry on with a leader that has limited brain function (may the gods of Political correctness forgive me) |
Pat Robertson is an asshole.
Then again, so was Sharon. He certainly had a hand in killing an awful lot of people. But who he was or is doesn't really factor in to the situation, it's what he represented of course. The strongest political personalities in the running for Israeli prime minister after him seem to be, as Netanyahu, hardliners, uncompromising and opposed to the peace efforts Sharon enacted. Kadima seems to still be carrying most of the votes into the next election, but all it takes is a powerful voice of opposition and then the whole political environment changes. I think it's funny how the two most powerful men involved in the Israeli/Palestinian conflict, Sharon and Arafat, have been stricken with an ordinary illness, funny how fate just sort of throws a monkey wrench into things eh? |
Yeah, Pat Robertson is a dumbass. Someone needs to put a gag in him so he can't speak. Does anyone really listen to that idiot anymore?
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Obviously if the news is still making, well, news about him.
A question about israel: What's so hard about allowing Israli and Palistinians to livei n the same place? Sure, they have religious differences, but we in the US and other civilized places MOSTLY manage to keep those from blowing up. The best thing to do here is to introduce an impartial party, and have them.. well, do something to the do-badders. (honestly, I'm all in favor of a public execution if it scares people into being good, then maybe their kids will be good, and peace will come. Or, I could just be hoping to go one day without hearing of more people over there being blown up) Re: FG "I think it's funny how the two most powerful men involved in the Israeli/Palestinian conflict, Sharon and Arafat, have been stricken with an ordinary illness, funny how fate just sort of throws a monkey wrench into things eh?" Uh, how else did you expect them to die? I wouldn't say fate has anything to do with this, they're both old people, and probably nto in the best shape. |
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