[Solid Snake]

Originally Posted by shiney

The GOP stands probably to make short-term gains for another election cycle, maybe two, and then they're completely fucked if they keep this current trend.

The problem is really that I don't think this nation will survive another session or two of Republican dominance. I'm reasonably certain (if I were to guess) that Obama wins 2012 (but has less Dems in the House / Senate) but a fresh-faced Republican wins 2016, and I do think it's possible that we'd see outright Republican House and Senate majorities around that timeframe.

If that's the case, I'd say we'll be in for a rough time between approximately 2016 and 2022. Assuming Obama's lame duck by late 2014 or so, maybe it'd start then.

After we get past, say, 2025, I think the nation's demographics will have sufficiently shifted to ensure that the Republicans would become absolutely outdated. The question is whether by that timeframe the Democrats will have much of a nation left to save. I have a feeling that conservatives in the Baby Boomer generation will ride one last wave of backwater phobias in that 2016-2020 timeframe, and if so we could be in for a rough ride.